Seattle doesn’t have an equivalent of prop. 13, yet without enough supply, prices still have skyrocketed.
With the current supply problem in Bay Area, realistically all you are going to get is marginally more displacement of people who anchored themselves to a super expensive area in the past, but could not sustain a 10x increase in tax.
Seattle is not alone. Vancouver, Sydney, London and other cities all have experienced the same boom. The global economy is currently booming, wealth is shifting from middle class to upper class. Building homes have become cheaper but since transportation services are still outdated, more and more people want to stay in the same place. The super wealthy are leveraged by the banks and think housing is a great investment so they squat on swaths of buyable property and rent it out.
If a City implements a solid transportation system that gets you in the burbs within an hour, then the prices drop. Prices are simply a matter of demand and supply, and supply is artificially capped.
The truth is, humans are terrible long term decision makers for the good of a large population. Personal agendas always get in the way.
Prop 13 is the coup de grace that exacerbates all the other issues that contribute to demand outstripping supply by removing the tax pressure that should've been incenting more density and liquidity in the housing market.
Seattle's real estate market has some but not all of the same pressures: too prescriptive of zoning that requires single family homes for no good reason and booming economies adding jobs at a faster rate than housing stock. But Seattle builds faster and taller in the median case; though the tall building seems to go through waves of either being all apartments or all condos.
With the current supply problem in Bay Area, realistically all you are going to get is marginally more displacement of people who anchored themselves to a super expensive area in the past, but could not sustain a 10x increase in tax.
Building enough supply can work: https://la.curbed.com/2018/5/2/17311992/los-angeles-how-much...
And it doesn’t take long for things to stabilize either, once you increase supply.