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Thank goodness for globalized economies.


On Polymarket you can be the bookie and put up a yes at $0.72 and no at $0.74 if you’re confident in that 73% estimate.



Ask and ye shall receive: https://manifold.markets/benmanns/aliensgov-prop-bets (play money). I set this up so multiple can resolve and other users can add additional speculations.


This is so smart. Gambling with fake money.

I love the idea of polybet but would never invest into it. Gonna check this out


Exprience shows that braindead ideas are great moneymakers.


Oh my god.

EDIT: oh it's play money, good website


I thought Plaid have (had?) a developer account that could connect something like 100 accounts that was free.


Same. The complexity of HA also leaves my family with a bus factor of one re: keeping the lights on.


They were only touched on (and just barely) in my CS education, so don’t feel too left out. Spend an evening or two on the Wiki for Probabilistic data structures[0]. With a CS education you should have the baseline knowledge to find them really fascinating. Enjoy!

Oh, and I don’t find myself actually implementing any of these very often or knowing that they are in use. I occasionally use things like APPROX_COUNT_DISTINCT in Snowflake[1], which is a HyperLogLog (linked in the Wiki).

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Probabilistic_data_st...

[1]: https://docs.snowflake.com/en/sql-reference/functions/approx...


I've really been enjoying Complex Systems with Patrick McKenzie (patio11) of HN fame. Additionally: Odd Lots, Money Stuff, Chat with Traders (hit or miss, some guests are not great).


Came here to say this! Complex Systems is not the best for me but it's for sure the new content I found this year. I find myself listening and sometimes pausing to search to learn more about what he is talking about.


Audiobook publishers require/request this when you sell subsidiary rights. We’ve been able to push back citing accessibility concerns. I find it really annoying when not available for my own reading.


For Shopify in particular, they have a headless front-end services called Hydrogen[0] (with optional hosting called Oxygen). It's basically an opinionated wrapper around the storefront[1] and customer account[2] APIs, which allows interacting with the store from the front-end. It allows you to host Shopify on your own domain under your own control and gives a bit more customization than is available via hosted Shopify. It's what I run for the Creature Publishing site[3] and allows some extra customization for wholesale accounts, etc, without the exceptionally expensive enterprise (Shopify Plus) plan. To be completely honest, sometimes I question the decision over a simple hosted shop subdomain. Some light SSR/API calls are necessary for our setup, which is hosted on Cloudflare Pages/Workers.

[0]: https://hydrogen.shopify.dev/

[1]: https://shopify.dev/docs/api/storefront/latest

[2]: https://shopify.dev/docs/api/customer/latest

[3]: https://creaturehorror.com/


It does, however, make providing housing more profitable, which, on the margins, will drive more landlords and home builders into the market, decreasing long term costs (relative to a straight 100% increase relative to the basic income). So you might send everyone $100 per month and costs go up $100 per month, until supply chains shift towards supplying lower income humans with more goods and services than they used to get, at which point costs will decrease (from the $100 increase).

With enough forewarning, suppliers could anticipate the increased demand and prepare for it.


Not if desirable places restrict zoning in a way that prevents more housing from being legal to build.


A major factor in what makes places more desirable is access to jobs. In the case of full UBI, it will be easier to: stay unemployed, negotiate a remote work contract or launch a new venture from anywhere, so I expect that we'll see people spread out a lot more.


No need to stay in a "desirable place" (read: place with jobs) if you have UBI.


> It does, however, make providing housing more profitable, which, on the margins, will drive more landlords and home builders into the market, decreasing long term costs

Landlords are, by and large, not the ones who create new housing units, and "lack of profit potential is" also generally not the main impedance to creating new housing in most locations either.


>and "lack of profit potential is" also generally not the main impedance to creating new housing in most locations either.

It somewhat is. Housing builders can only do so many projects per whatever cycle they run. They will optimize towards building fewer projects that are highly profitable rather than building tons of low income housing or starter homes that each have much lower profit.

Builders don't want to scale up, they want to make money. Building would also be abysmal to scale up anyway, because it's somewhat skilled labor that you pay peanuts for.

This is just one of the ways that wealth inequality results in market failures.

People with lots and lots of wealth value each individual dollar significantly less, and are therefore willing to part with significantly more dollars per unit of service or product. That means you always get a much higher profit margin targeting stupid rich people than anything else. So everything is built around bilking these dumb but wealthy people for everything you can, and nobody builds or sells much to the poorer people. This drives prices for things up in general, and starves the market of oxygen for meeting the needs of less wealthy people.

Ask any developer, big or small, who their target market is, and they will not say "poor people" and this has been true for decades, and the difference between "poor" and "not poor" has only continued to grow.


Really, any place where building falls behind demand you should expect the lower profit affordable housing to be the first projects cancelled. Economically it only makes sense to service the affordable housing market if the luxury housing market is too saturated to support more projects.


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